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Vietnam's recent formal recognition as a "Secondary
Emerging Market" by global index provider FTSE Russell marks a
decisive transition for its economy. This long-awaited promotion
from "Frontier Market" status signals that Vietnam has
successfully modernized its capital market infrastructure, opening
a new chapter of global financial integration and potential massive
capital inflows.
Emerging Market status
The term "emerging market" describes a country
experiencing rapid growth and industrialization, whose equity
market is generally more accessible to foreign investors than a
frontier market. The official reclassification by FTSE Russell,
which is set to take effect in September 2026 (subject to a final
review), is a validation of Vietnam's decade-long efforts
toward market liberalization and regulatory reform.
This new status puts Vietnam in the same market category as
regional giants like China, India, and Indonesia.
What does it mean for Vietnam?
The primary and most dramatic impact of the emerging market status
is the projected surge in foreign capital. Funds that track
Emerging Market indices, which are significantly larger than those
tracking Frontier Markets, will now be mandated to allocate capital
to Vietnamese entities.
Analysts estimate this upgrade could trigger $5 billion to $10
billion in foreign capital inflows, combining both passive funds
and active funds. Greater foreign participation will boost market
liquidity, making it easier for investors to buy and sell large
volumes of shares, which further increases the market's
attractiveness.
Challenges and Further Reforms
While the FTSE Russell upgrade is a major milestone, it is not the
final destination. The transition highlights areas where Vietnam
must continue its reform agenda to consolidate its position and
pursue even higher classifications, such as those provided by rival
index provider MSCI. According to FTSE Russell, the following
requirements must be met for FTSE's "Advanced Emerging
Market" status: (i) access for foreign brokers; (ii) lifting
of certain foreign ownership limits; and (iii) establishment of the
Central Counterparty (CCP) system.
Conclusion
Vietnam's upgrade is a testament to its successful economic
strategy, characterized by robust GDP growth, integration into
global supply chains, and a young, dynamic workforce.
The emerging market status is more than a label; it's an
invitation to the world's largest asset managers to participate
in Vietnam's growth story. By addressing the remaining
infrastructural and regulatory gaps, Vietnam is poised not only to
maintain its new status but to transition into one of the
world's fastest-growing and most resilient economies over the
next decade.
Disclaimer: This Alert has been prepared and published for informational purposes only and is not offered, nor should be construed, as legal advice. For more information, please see the firm's full disclaimer.